The oddsmakers already know

Every week, handicappers and gamblers scour injury reports looking for edges with players who are on the IL or just plain dinged up. The NFL releases their first ‘official’ injury report on Wednesday, an update on Thursday and the Final report, with game status designations — Questionable, Doubtful, or Out — on Friday. Often bettors see the news  of a player injury via social media or by doing their own research and many gamblers see a quarterback listed as doubtful or wide receiver out and immediately fire up their betting app.

The same thing happens when there is a report of bad weather, especially snow. Bettors see rain or snow and immediately fire away on UNDER bets. But, in reality, most weather only has light to moderate effects on NFL outcomes, with the exception being high winds.

However, bettors need to realize that linesmakers already have the same information and any injuries or bad weather is already baked into the lines for the games. Football bettors who hear about an injury or the potential for a snowy field cannot simply think they have an edge and start firing away. It is a huge mistake made often by bettors, thinking they are outsmarting the bookmakers. So instead, take the information about weather and injuries and use that as a tool in your handicapping arsenal, not a magic bullet to victory.

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